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Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
Glebe Park

Brechin
1 - 3
Buckie Thistle

Bollan (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morrison (34'), Urquhart (75'), Murray (90+1')
Morrison (82')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Brechin City and Buckie Thistle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buckie Thistle win with a probability of 58.76%. A win for Brechin City had a probability of 21.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buckie Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.11%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Brechin City win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buckie Thistle would win this match.

Result
Brechin CityDrawBuckie Thistle
21.55%19.69%58.76%
Both teams to score 65.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.84%30.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.62%51.38%
Brechin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53%26.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34%61.66%
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.75%10.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.39%33.61%
Score Analysis
    Brechin City 21.55%
    Buckie Thistle 58.76%
    Draw 19.69%
Brechin CityDrawBuckie Thistle
2-1 @ 5.46%
1-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 2.76%
3-1 @ 2.42%
2-0 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 21.55%
1-1 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 2.71%
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 19.69%
1-2 @ 9.36%
1-3 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 7.04%
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-3 @ 5.35%
2-3 @ 4.72%
1-4 @ 4.05%
0-4 @ 3.05%
2-4 @ 2.69%
1-5 @ 1.84%
0-5 @ 1.39%
2-5 @ 1.23%
3-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 58.76%

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