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Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
GM

Celtic Res.
1 - 3
Morton

Dickson (29')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Garrity (16'), Muirhead (26'), Blues (66')
Hynes (42')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Celtic Reserves and Greenock Morton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Celtic Reserves had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Celtic ReservesDrawGreenock Morton
32.04%25.98%41.98%
Both teams to score 53.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17%50.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28%72.72%
Celtic Reserves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28%29.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21%65.79%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76%24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75%58.25%
Score Analysis
    Celtic Reserves 32.04%
    Greenock Morton 41.98%
    Draw 25.98%
Celtic ReservesDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 8.66%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.14%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.98%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-2 @ 7.27%
1-3 @ 4.19%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.5%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.98%

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