Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
