Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone Under-21s win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest East Fife win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
-0) 
0.01) 
