SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | East Fife | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | East Fife | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Dumbarton | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
24.11% ( -0.98) | 23.26% ( -0.22) | 52.62% ( 1.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.47% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.88% ( 0.07) | 44.12% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.5% ( 0.07) | 66.5% ( -0.07) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.77) | 32.15% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( -0.88) | 68.64% ( 0.89) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( 0.47) | 16.76% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( 0.83) | 46.7% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.58% Total : 24.11% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.62% |
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