SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Kilbride | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
25.12% ( 4.68) | 22.25% ( 0.99) | 52.63% ( -5.66) |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( 2.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( 0.95) | 38.43% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( 1) | 60.72% ( -1) |
| East Kilbride Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 4.54) | 28.27% ( -4.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.01% ( 5.39) | 63.99% ( -5.39) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.27% ( -1.45) | 14.73% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.07% ( -2.86) | 42.93% ( 2.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Kilbride | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.9) 1-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.65)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.4)Other @ 3.53% Total : 25.12% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.58)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.82)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -1.24)1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0.5)0-3 @ 4.88% ( -1.1)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.41)0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.68)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.23)Other @ 4.16% Total : 52.63% |
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