SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Coleraine win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
20.36% ( -0.33) | 23.16% ( -0.04) | 56.47% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.78% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( -0.24) | 47.93% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( -0.22) | 70.1% ( 0.22) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( -0.47) | 37.79% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% ( -0.47) | 74.56% ( 0.46) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( 0.04) | 16.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.3% ( 0.08) | 46.7% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.58% Total : 20.36% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.1% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.01% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.69% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 56.47% |
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