SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fraserburgh win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fraserburgh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fraserburgh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fraserburgh | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
40.84% ( -4.18) | 26.2% ( 0.96) | 32.96% ( 3.21) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( -1.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( -2.89) | 51.5% ( 2.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -2.57) | 73.3% ( 2.57) |
| Fraserburgh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( -3.28) | 24.88% ( 3.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.51% ( -4.79) | 59.49% ( 4.78) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( 0.72) | 29.45% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.55% ( 0.88) | 65.45% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fraserburgh | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.56)3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.67)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.62)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.35)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.4)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.35)Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.84% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.81)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 1.15) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.8)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.96% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
