SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Fraserburgh had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Fraserburgh win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Fraserburgh |
49.68% ( 3.64) | 24.39% ( 0.82) | 25.93% ( -4.45) |
| Both teams to score 54.65% ( -6.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -6.64) | 47.41% ( 6.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( -6.46) | 69.63% ( 6.47) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -1.13) | 19.12% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% ( -1.92) | 50.76% ( 1.92) |
| Fraserburgh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( -6.61) | 32.43% ( 6.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( -8.17) | 68.95% ( 8.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Fraserburgh |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 2.29) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 8.49% ( 1.65)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.77)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.62)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.31)Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.77) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 1.56)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.89)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.5)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.7) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.8)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.86)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.81)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.45)Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.93% |
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