Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
East Stirling win 4-2 on penalties
FT
Fotheringham (21'), Kirkpatrick (67')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between St Mirren Under-21s and East Stirlingshire.
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Stirlingshire win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for St Mirren Under-21s had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Stirlingshire win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a St Mirren Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| St Mirren Under-21s | Draw | East Stirlingshire |
14.03% ( 0) | 17.92% ( -0.02) | 68.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.4% ( 0.09) |
| 64.67% ( 0.1) | 35.33% ( -0.1) |
| 42.64% ( 0.11) | 57.35% ( -0.12) |
| St Mirren Under-21s Goals |
| 62.32% ( 0.07) | 37.68% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.54% ( 0.07) | 74.45% ( -0.07) |
| 90.5% ( 0.03) | 9.49% ( -0.03) |
