Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CFR Cluj win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CFR Cluj win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.