Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSM Iasi win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for U Craiova 1948 had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSM Iasi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest U Craiova 1948 win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.04) 
