Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hermannstadt win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hermannstadt win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.54%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 1-0 (12.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hermannstadt would win this match.
