Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a U Craiova 1948 win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for SSC Farul had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a U Craiova 1948 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest SSC Farul win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that U Craiova 1948 would win this match.
Result | ||
U Craiova 1948 | Draw | SSC Farul |
40.1% ( 1.81) | 24.99% ( -0.31) | 34.9% ( -1.5) |
Both teams to score 57.54% ( 0.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.16% ( 1.24) | 45.83% ( -1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% ( 1.16) | 68.15% ( -1.16) |
U Craiova 1948 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( 1.48) | 22.73% ( -1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( 2.14) | 56.41% ( -2.14) |
SSC Farul Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( -0.27) | 25.52% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.62% ( -0.38) | 60.37% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
U Craiova 1948 | Draw | SSC Farul |
2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.99% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.9% |
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