Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Cluj win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for UTA Arad had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Cluj win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a UTA Arad win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
