Arsenal Tula
1 - 3
Akhmat Grozny

Lutsenko (90+1')
Kostadinov (15'), Khagush (24')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kharin (15'), Roshi (22' pen., 88')
Kharin (24'), Bogosavac (33'), Glushakov (68'), Ivanov (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Akhmat Grozny.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Tula	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
40.03%	26.26%	33.71%

Both teams to score 53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41%

51.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62%

73.38%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66%

25.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87%

60.13%

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99%

29.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08%

64.91%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Tula 40.03%

Akhmat Grozny 33.71%

Draw 26.25%

Arsenal Tula	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.03%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.71%