Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.