SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 31.7% | 26.3% | 42% |
| Both teams to score 52.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% | 52.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% | 73.96% |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% | 30.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.08% | 66.92% |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% | 24.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.87% | 59.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 2.04% Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.7% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.61% Total : 42% |
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