Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%).