Russian Premier League | Gameweek 2
Jul 31, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Baltika.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Baltika |
57.3% ( -2.72) | 22.83% ( 0.95) | 19.87% ( 1.77) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( 0.05) |
| 52.82% ( -1.49) | 47.18% ( 1.49) |
| 30.59% ( -1.4) | 69.41% ( 1.4) |
| 83.79% ( -1.41) | 16.21% ( 1.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.29% ( -2.63) | 45.71% ( 2.63) |
| 62.13% ( 1.08) | 37.87% ( -1.08) |
