Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Baltika
57.3% ( -2.72)	22.83% ( 0.95)	19.87% ( 1.77)

Both teams to score 52.06% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.82% (

-1.49)

47.18% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.59% (

-1.4)

69.41% (

1.4)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

-1.41)

16.21% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.29% (

-2.63)

45.71% (

2.63)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.13% (

1.08)

37.87% (

-1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.36% (

1.04)

74.64% (

-1.04)

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 57.3%

Baltika 19.87%

Draw 22.82%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Baltika
1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.54) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.4) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.3) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.19% Total : 57.3%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.87%