SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
27.01% ( 1.16) | 25.52% ( 0.32) | 47.48% ( -1.47) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.67% ( -0.5) | 51.33% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( -0.43) | 73.15% ( 0.44) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( 0.68) | 33.65% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% ( 0.73) | 70.3% ( -0.72) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( -0.84) | 21.63% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.26% ( -1.31) | 54.74% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.01% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.36% Total : 47.47% |
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