Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for FC Tambov had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest FC Tambov win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.