Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 12.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.