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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Wahda
2 - 3
Al Ettifaq

Goodwin (37', 51')
Al Issa (54'), Al Bukhari (90+4'), van Crooij (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wijnaldum (18', 81'), Gray (90+8')
Henderson (58'), Hendry (90+10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Ettifaq
Sunday, October 22 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Wahda 1-2 Al Ettifaq

While both these sides have been finding wins hard to come by of late, the visitors undoubtedly have the class to come away with the points in this match. They will also be back to their full squad with key players returning to action, and we feel they will just about edge this match by a one-goal margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.

Result
Al WahdaDrawAl Ettifaq
38.5% (0.196 0.2) 25.88% (-0.07 -0.07) 35.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.59% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (0.296 0.3)49.69% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (0.265 0.27)71.7% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (0.244 0.24)25.3% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (0.333 0.33)60.07% (-0.328 -0.33)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.069000000000003 0.07)26.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (0.090000000000003 0.09)62.25% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Al Wahda 38.5%
    Al Ettifaq 35.62%
    Draw 25.87%
Al WahdaDrawAl Ettifaq
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.43% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.5%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-1 Al Fayha
Saturday, October 7 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 5-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 4-0 Abha
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 4-2 Damac
Thursday, September 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 4-1 Al Wahda
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-0 Al Ettifaq
Sunday, October 22 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Fateh
Thursday, October 5 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-0 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, September 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 4-3 Al Tai
Thursday, September 21 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 1-3 Al Ettifaq
Saturday, September 16 at 1pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 3-1 Damac
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League


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