SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wahda win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Abha had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wahda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Abha win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Wahda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Wahda | Draw | Abha |
42.6% ( 0.26) | 25.59% ( 0.12) | 31.81% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.67) | 49.25% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( -0.61) | 71.31% ( 0.6) |
| Al Wahda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( -0.16) | 23% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( -0.24) | 56.8% ( 0.23) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.59) | 29.08% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( -0.73) | 65% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Wahda | Draw | Abha |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.81% |
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