Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Damac win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Damac win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Damac would win this match.
Result | ||
Damac | Draw | Al Hazem |
41.52% ( 0.42) | 27.19% ( -0.03) | 31.29% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.13% ( 0.02) | 55.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.01% ( 0.02) | 76.98% ( -0.01) |
Damac Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% ( 0.23) | 26.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.29% ( 0.31) | 61.71% ( -0.31) |
Al Hazem Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.2% ( -0.26) | 32.8% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.63% ( -0.3) | 69.36% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Damac | Draw | Al Hazem |
1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.51% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.29% |
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