SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Al-Taawoun in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Taawoun.
| Result | ||
| Al Hazem | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
35.35% ( 0.03) | 24.91% ( 0) | 39.74% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -0.01) | 45.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.01) | 67.71% ( 0.01) |
| Al Hazem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 0.01) | 25.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( 0.02) | 59.72% ( -0.01) |
| Al-Taawoun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( -0.02) | 22.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( -0.03) | 56.38% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Hazem | Draw | Al-Taawoun |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.74% |
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