SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.77%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Greenock Morton |
69.14% ( 0.04) | 20.17% ( -0.04) | 10.68% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 38.81% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.67% ( 0.18) | 53.33% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% ( 0.15) | 74.88% ( -0.15) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( 0.07) | 14.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.66% ( 0.13) | 42.34% ( -0.14) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.35% ( 0.12) | 54.65% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.33% ( 0.07) | 87.67% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 15.25% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 14.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.54% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 69.13% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.17% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.7% Total : 10.68% |
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