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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
GM

Livingston
3 - 2
Morton

Yengi (29'), Wilson (35'), Shinnie (36')
Muirhead (45+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lyall (28'), McGinn (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Livingston and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Livingston
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-2 Falkirk
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.77%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawGreenock Morton
69.14% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 20.17% (-0.044 -0.04) 10.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 38.81% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (0.178 0.18)53.33% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (0.151 0.15)74.88% (-0.149 -0.15)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.58% (0.069999999999993 0.07)14.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.66% (0.135 0.13)42.34% (-0.136 -0.14)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.35% (0.116 0.12)54.65% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.33% (0.068999999999999 0.07)87.67% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 69.13%
    Greenock Morton 10.68%
    Draw 20.17%
LivingstonDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 15.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 14.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.54% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.62% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 69.13%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.7% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 20.17%
0-1 @ 4.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 2.79% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 10.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Livingston
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Livingston 0-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Livingston 3-0 Cove Rangers
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Livingston
Wednesday, February 5 at 7.35pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Falkirk 1-2 Livingston
Friday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Livingston 3-0 Hamilton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 0-2 Falkirk
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-0 Hamilton
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-2 Airdrieonians
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 2-2 Morton
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Queen's Park 1-2 Morton
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 2-1 Partick
Tuesday, December 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship


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