Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
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