Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.