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Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 15, 2021 at 12pm UK
Stark's Park
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Raith Rovers
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Varian (48'), Zanatta (71')
Tait (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Emmanuel-Thomas (13')
Gurr (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Raith RoversDrawAberdeen
31.86%26.91%41.23%
Both teams to score 50.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33%54.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01%75.99%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22%31.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79%68.21%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89%26.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82%61.18%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 31.86%
    Aberdeen 41.22%
    Draw 26.91%
Raith RoversDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.88%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 31.86%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.3%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 11.14%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 7.48%
1-3 @ 3.84%
0-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.22%

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