Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.