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A
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK
Gayfield Park
M

Arbroath
3 - 1
Montrose

Swankie (27'), Thomson (43'), O'Brien (86')
Gold (61'), Ruth (70')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Webster (10')
Watson (87')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Arbroath and Montrose.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.

Result
ArbroathDrawMontrose
52.01%23.79%24.19%
Both teams to score 54.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63%46.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35%68.65%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18%17.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.44%48.55%
Montrose Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69%33.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07%69.92%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 52%
    Montrose 24.19%
    Draw 23.79%
ArbroathDrawMontrose
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 5.93%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.79%
0-1 @ 6.52%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.19%


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