Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match.