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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK
Central Park, Cowdenbeath
HL

Cowdenbeath
0 - 1
Hearts


Herd (65'), Miller (73'), Pollock (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Halkett (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
CowdenbeathDrawHearts
25.35%24.26%50.39%
Both teams to score 54.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67%47.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45%69.55%
Cowdenbeath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14%32.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57%69.43%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19%18.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77%50.24%
Score Analysis
    Cowdenbeath 25.35%
    Hearts 50.39%
    Draw 24.26%
CowdenbeathDrawHearts
1-0 @ 6.88%
2-1 @ 6.4%
2-0 @ 3.83%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 1.98%
3-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 25.35%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.18%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 8.63%
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-3 @ 4.81%
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 2.23%
0-4 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.39%


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