Dundee Utd
1 - 0
Kelty Hearts

Edwards (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reilly (31'), (90')

Data Analysis

Stevie Frail satisfied with Dundee United's narrow win over Kelty Hearts

The Match

Match Report

A goal in first-half stoppage-time gave the home side a 1-0 victory in the Betfred Cup.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
Dundee United	Draw	Kelty Hearts
43.85%	24.75%	31.4%

Both teams to score 57.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.25%

45.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.93%

68.07%

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.07%

20.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.34%

53.66%

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38%

27.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84%

63.16%

Score Analysis

Dundee United 43.85%

Kelty Hearts 31.4%

Draw 24.75%

Dundee United	Draw	Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 9.04% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.85%	1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75%	1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.89% Total : 31.4%