Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.
