Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
