SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
34.59% ( -1.73) | 25.14% ( 0.26) | 40.26% ( 1.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.44% ( -1.43) | 46.56% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( -1.36) | 68.83% ( 1.36) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( -1.65) | 26.04% ( 1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.92% ( -2.28) | 61.08% ( 2.28) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( 0.11) | 22.97% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( 0.16) | 56.76% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.26% |
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