SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
70.36% ( -0.17) | 17.49% ( 0.14) | 12.16% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( -0.6) | 37.99% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( -0.65) | 60.26% ( 0.65) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( -0.2) | 9.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.78% ( -0.47) | 32.22% ( 0.47) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.36) | 42.24% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( -0.31) | 78.64% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.01% Total : 70.36% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.49% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.16% |
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