Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.