Raith Rovers
4 - 4
Hamilton

Vaughan (13' pen., 65'), Zanatta (25'), Connolly (52')
Benedictus (47'), Poplatnik (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

MacDonald (68', 83'), Ryan (78'), Want (90+2')

Data Analysis

The Match

Match Report

The visitors, who finished bottom of the Premiership last season, produced a stunning comeback in the final 25 minutes at Stark's Park.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Hamilton Academical
45.84%	25.23%	28.93%

Both teams to score 54.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

49.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.91%

71.09%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62%

54.38%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03%

30.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73%

67.27%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 45.84%

Hamilton Academical 28.93%

Draw 25.23%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.84%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.93%