Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.