Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
