Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.