Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
