SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
32.58% ( 0.04) | 23.97% ( -0.01) | 43.45% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( 0.05) | 41.69% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( 0.05) | 64.1% ( -0.05) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( 0.05) | 24.92% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( 0.07) | 59.54% ( -0.07) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( 0.01) | 19.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.74% ( 0.02) | 51.26% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.58% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 43.45% |
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