SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Montrose |
46.84% ( -7.79) | 23.39% ( 0.87) | 29.76% ( 6.91) |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( 3.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.73% ( 1.83) | 40.27% ( -1.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.35% ( 1.87) | 62.64% ( -1.87) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( -2.13) | 17.47% ( 2.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.04% ( -3.85) | 47.96% ( 3.85) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( 6.17) | 25.96% ( -6.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% ( 7.64) | 60.98% ( -7.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.53) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -1.33)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -1.76)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.73)3-0 @ 4.01% ( -1.4)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.52)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.79)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.94% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.69)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.39)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 1.24) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.95)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.98)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.71)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.65)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.45)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.35)Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.76% |
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