Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
