SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
| 40.46% | 25.4% | 34.14% |
| Both teams to score 55.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% | 47.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% | 70% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% | 23.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.57% | 57.43% |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% | 26.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.76% | 62.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 8.72% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.14% |
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