Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
