Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-0 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.